I'm still attempting to recover from losing the Under 6.5 on the Preds / Lightning game last night. If you’re unaware - the game was tied 1-1 heading into the 3rd period. The game proceeded to end 5-3. It’s been a rough couple beats on our past wagers, let’s hope our luck turns around tonight…
Winnipeg Jets (+117) @ Calgary Flames
The Flames are coming off a disappointing effort last year that resulted in the termination of Coach Darryl Sutter.
Not only did Calgary have frustrations with their coaching - but netminding, too.
Flames Goaltender Jacob Markstrom is coming off one of his worst seasons.
Markstrom finished 51st in GSAx last season, allowed 2.92 goals per game and posted a save percentage of 89.2%.
Plus, Calgary lost their top scorer from last season - Tyler Toffoli - to the New Jersey Devils.
On the other side, despite being eliminated in the first round of the postseason, the Jets have some positivity to build off of.
Their netminder, Connor Hellebuyck, finished 4th in GSAx, allowed just 2.49 goals per game and finished with a save percentage of 92%.
Also, earlier this week, Winnipeg just re-signed not only Hellebuyck to a long term deal, but Center Mark Scheifele as well.
When a pair of your top guys are happy - that’s always going to be a plus heading into the season.
I believe the Jets should be priced more around even money (+100), so I see some value in betting them anywhere from +110 and above.
Food for Thought:
I know a lot of you Blackhawks fans, myself included, are still raving from last night’s dub. That was a blast to watch and a refreshing change of pace to see our squad fight till the end.
Connor Bedard was able to rack up an assist as well as put 5 shots on the net. Overall, a very solid debut for the 18 year old.
His props are varying like crazy across the market for tonight’s matchup against the Bruins.
At BetMGM, you can bet him Over 2.5 Shots on Goal at -190. At Caesar’s, you can bet him over 2.5 SOG at -298. Or, at Circa, you can bet him to get Over 3.5 SOG at the price of +130.
It’s important to be cognizant of this so you can shop around for the best value.
I get the conversation of him being an absolute machine and just continuing to put as many pucks on the net as possible, as well as the fact that we may rarely get his prop number of SOG at 2.5 this season. But, let’s also recognize that it’s early, they’re facing one of the best defensive groups in the league and it’s the second leg of a back-to-back. Granted the back-to-back shouldn’t play too much of a factor at the beginning of the season, especially in game number two.
Regardless, if I were to be playing this prop, I’d only consider laying the -190 on the Over 2.5 SOG. But, ultimately, I will stay away. I’m just going to sit back and watch this team hopefully put another feisty performance out on the ice.
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