Nets @ Pacers
Two teams with two days of rest leading into this game are facing off in the state of Indiana. The Pacers (37-30) are playing host to the Nets (26-40).
They have not seen each other this season and tonight will be the first of three matchups.
I believe this setting will present a healthy amount of scoring. And that is why I am betting the over at 227.5.
If you’ve been following along with the NBA, you probably have witnessed just how poor this Indiana defense is. They rank 27th in defensive points per 100 possessions allowed (119.7), 24th in defensive effective field goal percentage (56.5%) and 29th in defensive free throw rate (22.7).
On the offensive side, the Pacers can hang with the best of them, though. They are 2nd in the NBA in both Pts/Poss (121) and eFG% (58%).
Their opponent, Brooklyn, does not have quite the same offensive prowess as them - 20th in Pts/Poss and 21st in eFG%. However, if we recognize just how brutal the home team’s defense is, then we can expect that average to receive a boost.
Then, as we view the Nets’ defense - we can see that they don’t have many strengths there either. Defensively, Brooklyn is 17th in Pts/Poss (116.4), 15th in eFG% (55%) and 21st in free throw rate (20.4).
Indiana, at home and against a mediocre defense, should have no issue putting the ball through the bucket tonight. And considering they are 2nd in pace of play, score a lot better at home and are the favorite, I imagine they will be the ones dictating that pace. The Nets, who rank 21st in that category - will inevitably have to follow suit in order to try to keep up, thus leading this meeting to being a rapid one with quick possessions.
Play: Pacers/Nets Over 227.5 (-110); Risk 1.10 Units to win 1.00
NBA Record: 32-24 (+1.79)
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